Expert opinion: China's electric vehicle market has the best prospect

With the help of global environmental protection, can the electric vehicle industry usher in the spring of revival, and then set off a new wave of auto industry? Or "short-lived", repeat the fate of "recession" before? A number of industry authorities are generally optimistic about their vitality. Yu Zhuoping, dean of the School of Automotive Engineering at Tongji University, thus described: “Electric cars are now the darkness before the dawn, at least three years, and as many as five years will be able to develop.”

Compared with the previous sessions, the proportion of electric vehicles and hybrid vehicles at the Geneva International Motor Show has significantly increased, and the proportion of biofuel vehicles has significantly decreased. According to reports, car charging columns can be found everywhere in the exhibition halls. Signage and lighting of plug-in hybrids and pure electric vehicles can be seen everywhere. Some of the patterns on the body of the show car are wires and plugs, hybrid or electric acronyms for visitors to see at a glance.

Various signs show that every automobile manufacturer knows well that the “cake” in the electric vehicle market is not easy to eat, but almost every company is marching forward in order to seize market opportunities. In recent years, Toyota, General Motors, and Chrysler... A large number of well-known global automakers have launched their own electric vehicles that have mushroomed in laboratories, booths, and even people.

“As long as there is policy support and an international competition atmosphere has formed, there is hope for the development of electric vehicles.” Associate Professor Zhang Lijun of the New Energy Automotive Engineering Center at Tongji University said that although electric vehicles are difficult to develop, they have to gain the right to speak in the industry. The company has long been working hard to promote the production of traditional cars while developing new battery-driven products. “The word “environmental protection” has become popular soon after entering the 21st century, and environmental protection is also a 'chip' for competition between countries. Whoever can master the core technology of environmental protection can be strong if he can speak.” At the same time concurrently serving as the city's fuel cell vehicle power system Co., Ltd. Zhang Lijun, the project director, believes that the reality is that the domestic auto companies started late, and the technical strength is inherently worse than that of foreign countries. If the competition in the future is in an invincible position, it will be necessary to spend several times more energy than others.

Today, the strategies employed by smart car manufacturers are also roughly the same. Although the prospects for electric vehicles are “infinitely good”, it is impossible to earn enough money in the short term. The introduction of hybrid vehicles has become a common practice among major manufacturers: It can both make use of the transformation potential of traditional fuel vehicles and put on a “new energy” hat with double-edged swords.

Good policy: buy electric cars or subsidize 60,000 yuan

Fortunately, national policies are introduced when needed. Yesterday morning, Li Yizhong, deputy to the National People's Congress and minister of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, said that in order to promote the entry of new energy vehicles such as electric vehicles into the family, the government may consider granting subsidies of up to 60,000 yuan. The Regulations on the Management of New Energy Vehicle Manufacturers and Product Access Management further opens the door for the development of pure electric vehicles. The “Ten Cities Thousand Vehicles Project” was launched in January 2009. The state plans to use 3 through financial subsidies. Around the year, 10 cities will be developed each year. Each city will launch 1,000 new energy vehicles to perform demonstration operations, including electric vehicles.

Yu Zhuoping optimistically analyzed that the "Auto Industry Adjustment and Revitalization Plan" promulgated last year proposed that the market share of new energy vehicles before 2012 should reach 5%, and according to the current car ownership, this means that new energy vehicles The total volume will reach one million cars. Among them, the number of pure electric vehicles should exceed 100,000, "this is enough to support an automobile factory."

Expert opinion: China's electric vehicle market may have the best prospects

Unpredictable is that this spring is as short as usual, or it will set off a new wave. At the beginning of last century, the development of internal combustion engine vehicles has been rapid and electric vehicles have disappeared. In the 1970s, the “oil crisis” broke out, reminding people of the electric car. Frustratingly, computer and information technology had not developed at that time, and batteries, motors, and especially electronic control equipment, had not been substantially developed. As a result, electric vehicles have been blazing for a while and they have lost their voice.

In 1996, U.S. General Motors invested US$350 million in the development of an electric vehicle EV1, which caused a sensation in the world. However, because the cost of the car was as high as 80,000 U.S. dollars, the daily rental fee was only 350 U.S. dollars. It was purely a loss-making business. The company decided to take back all the rental EV1 cars and stopped the development and production plans for the battery electric vehicles. To this end, some electric car fans in California even held an "electric car funeral" to commemorate the departure of this electric car.

Meng Fanchen, Senior Vice President of Siemens (China) Co., Ltd. and a part-time blogger at the School of Economics and Management at Tongji University, said: “Electric vehicles may have the earliest and best development in China. This is because there is an increase in cars in China. Western countries are developing electric vehicles. The biggest problem facing us is that the increment of the car is very small, which may be less than 5%, and we must establish an additional distribution system and charging system on the basis of the existing automobile system. This is equivalent to having to engage two systems at the same time. Sex investment costs are quite high, which adds significantly to the additional business costs."